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Good evening, I'm [ name ] from the Survey Research Unit

Good evening, I'm [ name ] from the Survey Research Unit

at the University of Waikato Political Science Department in Hamilton.

We are conducting an interview of what people are thinking about politics during the election campaign.

May I speak to a person in the house who is at least 18 years old,

and had the most recent birthday.

   If new person - repeat introduction: Good evening, I'm [ name ] from the Survey Research Unit at the University of Waikato.

   IF PERSON UNAVAILABLE - TRY TO SET UP AN APPOINTMENT

 

We would be very grateful for your help?

     If hesitation:

Your telephone number was randomly selected by computer and I don't have your name or address and your identity is completely confidential.

Are you eligible to vote in New Zealand?

  

If you were voting in a general election held today,  what political issue would be most important to you personally when making your decision?

 

1          Drug/Alcohol

2          The Economy

3          Education

4          Elections

5          Family Issues

6          Farming Problems

7          Government/Honesty

8          Health Services

9          Housing

10        Immigration

11        Industrial Relations/Emp. Contracts

12        Inflation/Prices

13        Interest Rates

14        Law and Order/Crime

15        Pollution/Environment

16        Welfare/Poverty

17        Protesters

18        Racial Problems

19        Social Climate/Public morality

20        Superannuation/Old age security

21        Taxes

22        Unemployment/Employment

23        Wages

24        Youth

25        Abortion

26        Selling NZ assets

27        Treaty/Land

88        Don't know

99        Refused (No Response)

29        Other  «»

 

 

Which political party do you feel is closest to you on that issue?

 

1          Alliance

2          Labour

3          National

4          New Zealand First

5          ACT

6          Christian Coalition

7          Conservative

8          Progressive Green

9          McGillicuddy Serious

10        United

88        Don't know/Don't care

99        Refused (No Response)

77        None

11        Other  «»

 

Did you see the debate among the party leaders on TV One?

 

1          Yes

2          No

99        Refuse/No Response

 

 

In your opinion, which leader performed the BEST in that debate?

 

1          Jim Bolger

2          Winston Peters

3          Jim Anderton

4          Helen Clark

77        None

88        Don't Know

99        Refuse/No Response

 

 

And which leader performed the WORST?

 

1          Jim Bolger

2          Winston Peters

3          Jim Anderton

4          Helen Clark

77        None

88        Don't Know

99        Refuse/No Response

 

 

Of all the politicians in New Zealand,

who would you least like to be Prime Minister?

 

1          Jim Bolger

2          Helen Clark

3          Mike Moore

4          Winston Peters

5          Jim Anderton

6          Doug Graham

7          Richard Prebble

8          Sandra Lee

9          Michael Cullen

10        David Lange

88        Don't Know

99        Refused (No Response)

77        None

11        Other  «»

 

 

Of all the politicians in New Zealand,

who would you most like to be Prime Minister?

 

1          Jim Bolger

2          Helen Clark

3          Mike Moore

4          Winston Peters

5          Jim Anderton

6          Doug Graham

7          Richard Prebble

8          Sandra Lee

9          Michael Cullen

10        David Lange

88        Don't Know

99        Refused (No Response)

77        None

11        Other  «»

 

How do you think the general economic situation in New Zealand compares with what it was a year ago?  Is it the same, better, or worse? (IF BETTER OR WORSE: A lot or a little?)

 

1          A lot better

2          A little better

3          The same

4          A little worse

5          A lot worse

88        Don't Know

99        No response/refused

 

 

Generally speaking, do you usually think of yourself as

Labour, National, NZ First, Alliance, or some other,

or don't you think of yourself in this way?

 

1          Alliance

2          Labour

3          National

4          New Zealand First

5          ACT

6          Christian Coalition

7          Conservative

8          McGillicuddy Serious

9          United

88        Don't know/Don't care

99        Refused (No Response)

13       

10        Other  «»

 

How strongly do you feel about that party?  Very strongly, fairly strongly, or not very Strongly?

 

1          Very strong

2          Fairly strong

3          Not very strong

99        Refused (No Response)

 

 

At the coming election under MMP you will have two votes:

one for a party,

and one for a candidate in your electorate. 

Which vote do you think will be the most important

in deciding which party will get the largest number of seats in Parliament?

 

1          Party vote most important

2          Equally important

3          or Candidate vote most important

99        Refused (No Response)

88        Don't know/Don't care

 

 

Taking the party vote first,

if an election were held today,

which party would you vote for?

 

1          Alliance

2          Labour

3          National

4          New Zealand First

5          ACT

6          Christian Coalition

7          Conservative

8          Progressive Green

9          McGillicuddy Serious

10        United

88        Don't know/Don't care

99        Refused (No Response)

77        Would not vote

11        Other  «»

 

 

(IF Don’t Know)

Which party would you be most likely to vote for?

 

1          Alliance

2          Labour

3          National

4          New Zealand First

5          ACT

6          Christian Coalition

7          Conservative

8          Progressive Green

9          McGillicuddy Serious

10        United

88        Don't know/Don't care

99        Refused (No Response)

77        Would not vote

11        Other  «»

 

 

Now turning to your electorate vote,

if an election were held today,

which party’s candidate would get your electorate vote?

 

1          Alliance

2          Labour

3          National

4          New Zealand First

5          ACT

6          Christian Coalition

7          Conservative

8          Progressive Green

9          McGillicuddy Serious

10        United

88        Don't know/Don't care

99        Refused (No Response)

77        Would not vote

11        Other  «»

 

 

Which party’s candidate would you be most likely to vote for?

 

1          Alliance

2          Labour

3          National

4          New Zealand First

5          ACT

6          Christian Coalition

7          Conservative

8          Progressive Green

9          McGillicuddy Serious

10        United

88        Don't know/Don't care

99        Refused (No Response)

77        Would not vote

11        Other  «»

 

Which party did you vote for in the 1993 election?

 

1          Alliance

2          Labour

3          National

4          New Zealand First

5          Christian Heritage

88        Don't remember

99        Refused (No Response)

77        Inelligible

66        Out of the country

55        Did not vote

6          McGillicuddy Serious

7          Other  «»

 

 

 

Under MMP the party with the most seats may not be able to govern alone. 

If the party you support needs another party to govern,

which other party would you most prefer?

 

1          Alliance

2          Labour

3          National

4          New Zealand First

5          ACT

6          Christian Coalition

7          Conservative

8          McGillicuddy Serious

9          United

88        Don't know/Don't care

99        Refused (No Response)

77        No other party

10        Other  «»

 

 

What other party, if any,

would you prefer to support your party in government?

 

1          Alliance

2          Labour

3          National

4          New Zealand First

5          ACT

6          Christian Coalition

7          Conservative

8          McGillicuddy Serious

9          United

88        Don't know/Don't care

99        Refused (No Response)

77        No other party

10        Other  «»

 

 

What party or parties would you NOT want to see in

coalition with your favourite party?

                   This is a mulitple response question

 

1          Alliance

2          Labour

3          National

4          New Zealand First

5          ACT

6          Christian Coalition

7          Conservative

8          McGillicuddy Serious

9          United

88        Don't know/Don't care

99        Refused (No Response)

77        No other party

10        Other  «»

 

 

 

Now we'd like to ask you what you EXPECT to happen at the coming election.

There will probably be 120 members and seats in the new Parliament,

which means that to become a government on its own,

a party has to elect over 60.

 

We need just a rough estimate. 

You don't have to add up your estimates to 120

 

How many seats out of 120, roughly,

do you expect the Alliance to get in Parliament?

 

If Don't Know - repeat: We need just a rough estimate. 

If necessary: You don't have to add up your estimates to 120

 

If still don't know - type 999

 

 

How many seats out of 120, roughly,

do you expect National to get in Parliament?

 

If Don't Know - repeat: We need just a rough estimate. 

If necessary: You don't have to add up your estimates to 120

 

If still don't know - type 999

 

 

How many seats out of 120, roughly,

do you expect NZ First to get in Parliament?

 

If Don't Know - repeat: We need just a rough estimate. 

If necessary: You don't have to add up your estimates to 120

 

If still don't know - type 999

 

 

How many seats out of 120, roughly,

do you expect Labour to get in Parliament?

 

If Don't Know - repeat: We need just a rough estimate. 

If necessary: You don't have to add up your estimates to 120

 

If still don't know - type 999

 

 

Do you expect any other parties to get seats?

What about ACT?

 

1          Yes

2          No

88        Don't know/Don't care

99        Refused (No Response)

 

 

What about the Christian Coalition?

 

1          Yes

2          No

88        Don't know/Don't care

99        Refused (No Response)

 

 

What about United?

 

1          Yes

2          No

88        Don't know/Don't care

99        Refused (No Response)

 

 

Do you expect any other party to get seats?

 

             MULTIPLE RESPONSE QUESTION - DON'T PROMPT !!

 

1          Conservative

2          McGillicuddy Serious

3          Progressive Green

4          Green Society

5          Aotearoa Legalise Cannabis

6          Ethnic Minority Party

88        Don't know/Don't care

99        Refused (No Response)

8          NO

7          Other  «»

 

 

 

What party or parties do you expect to form the government

after the election?

            MULTIPLE RESPONSE - DON'T PROMPT !!

 

1          Alliance

2          Labour

3          National

4          New Zealand First

5          ACT

6          Christian Coalition

7          Conservative

8          McGillicuddy Serious

9          United

88        Don't know/Don't care

99        Refused (No Response)

10        Other  «»

 

 

When thinking about how you might vote,

How much attention do you pay to the opinion polls?  a lot, some or none at all?

 

1          a lot

2          Some

3          None at all

99        Refused (No Resonse)

 

 

Now we need some demographic statistics. 

We keep this information strictly confidential. 

You are obviously a

 

1          Male

2          Female

 

 

In what year were you born?

 

If no response - type "0"

If born before 1900 - type "00"

 

 

How many people of voting age live in your household?

 

Researchers at the Universities of Waikato and Auckland are conducting a follow up survey by post after the election. 

It contains some further interesting and important questions.

 

We would very much appreciate your participation. 

You can fill it out when convenient to you, and send it back to us post free.

 

So we can post you a copy, could you give me your first and last names?

(Reassurance: of course this information remains completely confidential.  Your name and address will only be used for administrative purposes

and will not be included in the study in any way that can identify you

or your responses.)  IF REFUSED: press return twice

 

And finally, the producer of  the Marai Programme

on Channel One wants to report on the opinion of voters. 

Could you please tell me if you are of Maori descent?

 

4          No

5          Yes

99        Refused

 

Are you on the Maori Roll or the general roll?

 

1          Maori Roll

2          General Roll

88        Don't know/Don't care

99        Refused (No Response)

 

That concludes our survey. 

The Survey Research Unit at the University of Waikato thanks you for your cooperation.

 

 




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